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Bet on football: guide

Let’s start with a glossary of the types of bets

Stake: This is the amount you place on a bet, in other words the amount you can lose if your bet is a loser.

Rating: The odds are the multiple factor of your bet. It’s the bookmaker who decides the odds (except in betting exchange, but that’s another story). The rating indicates the level of probability that an event will occur according to it. Thus, the lower the odds, the more likely it judges the realization of the bet. The higher the odds are, the more unlikely it feels when it arrives. For example, a score of 1.50 on the victory of the PSG means that if you bet € 100 and the PSG wins, you will win € 50 profit, or € 150 in total (you get your stake + what the bookmaker had bet against you).

Accumulator / Combined Bets: This is a series of individual bets grouped together: if each of your bets occur, then the odds accumulate (the odds are multiplied). So, when a bookmaker makes an offer to 1 million euros, do you say that dozens of fair bets are needed to receive this amount. And of course, the higher the number of bets, the higher the risk.

Handicap: This is a bet that is offered when a team is the obvious favorite (the handicap gives a small advantage to the outsider).

Half-time / End of match: This type of bet is divided into two, when you predict the winner at half-time and then for the entire match. So you can predict a draw at half-time but a home win over the entire match.

System: In the case of a combined betting (see above), you can select which bets you want insured to minimize your risk.

First scorer: This is when you bet on a player to score the first goal.

Differences: This is when you bet on the amount of goals scored, above or below a certain amount. For example, more than 2.5 means if there are 3 or more goals. Below 2.5, we would get 0, 1 or 2 goals.

DNB (Draw No Bet): If the score is zero, you get your bet. This may be considered a safer option, but you must understand that the odds are lower in this case.

Double Chance: A Double Chance bet is the one where you choose a winner and if he wins or draws, you win the bet. If the team you choose loses, you lose the bet. As for the DNB, chances are usually lower, but it’s a safer bet.

Before betting: the elements to take into account

The shape of the team at home and away

It is generally understood that 50% of home teams win their matches, 35% draw and 15% suffer a loss. In other words, playing at home is a real advantage.

A classic method of prediction is to analyze the results of previous matches of the current season to estimate the odds of a result.

If you did that for the English Premier League 2016-17 then you see the following:
– Chelsea won 90% of their home matches
– Sunderland did not win any of their away matches
– Only the top 5 in the standings have won more than half of their home games

Other form factors

Recent form
Another popular method is to analyze the last 5 results rather than the whole season. The idea behind this is that a team that has recently been able to capitalize on its results, creates a dynamic that allows it to increase its chances of victory.

Injuries / Absences
Injuries and absences can also have a big impact on the outcome of a match. Some players are more important than others, especially in defense (more than in attack). We recommend special attention on the central hinge and the guard. If the captain is also absent, it is a sign of imbalance of the team.

Derbys
For derbies (match between two local teams), the rules differ a bit: always bet on the away win, regardless of the previous results.

Recent events
There may also be tactical reasons to bet on a team. If a team has played (or will play) in the Champions League, maybe the players will be resting in the league. If a new coach arrives, the motivation of the players can be increased tenfold. In short, follow the news of the club.

General tips

A football betting guide would be unfinished if it ended without sharing some good tips!

Bet with his head: do not bet because you want a team to win, but because you think they will win! Likewise, do not bet against teams you do not like just because you do not like them. The key word is “OBJECTIVITY”.

Do not be too greedy: Decide in advance how much you have in your pocket to bet. Also know how to stop and withdraw your winnings.

Being patient: You will not win all your bets, it is only in the long term that you will be able to realize your profits (or your losses).

Never bet more than you can afford to lose: If to the question “Can I tell a friend that I lost this bet by giving the real amount? You answer “no”, so do not place the bet.

Seek help if the bet on football becomes a problem.

Do not bet on friendlies: They are simply unpredictable (especially at the beginning of the season, players avoid injuries).

Know the motivation of the team: if one of these teams has already won the championship and the other is fighting for maintenance, there is a good chance that the outsider wins.